The Traders Guide for the Filipino market

A Traders Guide for the Filipino Trader in the Philippine Market


"If we wish to avert failure in speculation, we must deal with causes. Everything in Existence is based on exact proportion and perfect relationship. There is no chance in nature, because mathematical principles in the highest order lie at the foundation of all things" -PYTHAGOREAS

PSEi Analysis




Philippine Stock Exchange Index
source: Wikipidia

The Philippine Stock Exchange was formed from the country’s two former stock exchanges, the Manila Stock Exchange (MSE), established on August 8, 1927, and the Makati Stock Exchange (MkSE), which was established on May 27, 1963.
Although both the MSE and the MkSE traded the same stocks of the same companies, the bourses were separate stock exchanges for nearly 30 years until December 23, 1992, when both exchanges were unified to become the present-day Philippine Stock Exchange.
In June 1998, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) granted the PSE a "Self-Regulatory Organization" (SRO) status, which meant that the bourse can implement its own rules and establish penalties on erring trading participants (TPs) and listed companies.
In 2001, one year after the enactment of the Securities Regulation Code, the PSE was transformed from a non-profit, non-stock, member-governed organization into a shareholder-based, revenue-earning corporation headed by a president and a board of directors. The PSE eventually listed its own shares on the exchange (traded under the ticker symbol PSE) by way of introduction on December 15, 2003.

On January 4, 1993, the former Manila Stock Exchange started the computerization of its operations using the Stratus Trading System (STS) with a company called Equicom. Later that year, on June 15, the former Makati Stock Exchange adopted the MakTrade trading system. Both systems were linked on March 25, 1994 to produce a One Price-One Market exchange. Two years later, on November 13, 1995, the implementation of the Unified Trading System (UTS) allowed the use of a single-order-book system on a MakTrade software where all the orders are posted and matched in one computer.
In October 2004, the Securities Clearing Corporation of the Philippines (SCCP), a clearing and settlement agency for depository eligible trades, became a wholly owned subsidiary of the PSE. The SCCP acts as the settlement coordinator and risk manager for broker transactions as well as administrator of the trade guaranty fund.
In 2005, the PSE adopted an online daily disclosure system (ODiSy) to improve the transparency of listed companies and ensure full, fair, timely and accurate disclosure of material information from all listed companies. The ODiSy provides 24/7 online system access for the submission of all types of disclosures.
On July 26, 2010, the PSE launched its new trading system, PSEtrade, which replaced the MakTrade system. The system was acquired from the New York Stock Exchange.

Profile:


Type
Stock exchange
Location
Pasig City, Philippines
Coordinates
Founded
December 23, 1992
Owner
The Philippine Stock Exchange, Inc.
Key people
Jose T. Pardo, Chairman
Currency
No. of listings
253 (2010)
₱8.9 trilion (2010)
EWebsite
       


MARKET 
Date
Trend :
Listing date:
Vibration :
Price  :
Time  :
Max Angle  :
Min Angle :
Daily    :
Weekly  :
Monthly :
Annual  :

Bull  Trend
Max angle:
Min angle:
 1st wave
2nd wave:
3rd wave:

Bear Trend
Max angle:
Min Angle:
1st wave :
2nd wave:
3rd wave :



www.pse.com



GEOMETRY DATA
Nov 5  2010- July 28, 2011
Bullish Consolidation
Dec 23, 1992
 8
  Square of 100 and 9
Square of  4
84.37 degrees
45.0 degrees
.02 pips  scale
.15 pips scale
.66 pips scale 
7.2 pips scale


84.37 deg
45.00 deg
84.35 - 78.75 deg
78.75 -72.81 deg
72.81 - 45.0 deg


-84.37 deg
-55.62 deg
84.35 - 78.75 deg
78.75 -72.81 deg 
  72.81 - 55.62 deg
Publish Page
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Market Review for   Nov 5  2010- July 28, 2011
  The market moved  Sideways  in a Eclectic pattern.  If we will consider the vertical axis level as the Time scale and the Horizontal as the Price scale. And each Dimensions move dynamically in relation to each other; then we can say that the price moves slower than time, as time is more volatile than price movements.  In the case of the Phil market - from Nov 5 - July 28 it vibrates along the vibration number of 8.  These type of  markets  that  vibrates in an even square,  usually reacts dependently to markets possessing or vibrates in within  odd squares such as the US DOW jones which  has a vibration number of one .

As you can see, certain retracement levels have already been plotted to both time and price axis.  And notable support and resistance levels always falls on this fabonacci , Geometric and Harmonic retracement values.  Also , both future significant time clusters has already been identified as a notable entry/ exit point for trading.  For all the significant dates been identified as notable possible trend reversal dates; i may say that i was able to identify 7 out of 8 potential timing points. The notable dates are shown in the table below.


as a review: 


Geometric ratios: 38.2%, 61.8%,161.8%
Arithmetic ratios : 33.3%, 50%,66.6
Harmonic ratios : 70.7 %,141.4%


Primary effects:  38.2%, 50%, 61.8%,100%
Secondary effects: 23.6%,25%,75%, 76.4%, 85.4%, 87.5%




The PSEi time square of 4. major tops and bottoms are the center of the square expanding outwards  underlining the boundaries of the sides of the square of four.  The Grand cross( yellow box dates) corresponds major energy centers in which   primary support or resistance dates occur.  And the secondary energy centers or   "X" lines represents minor trend that minor  resistance dates occur.  Orange boxes are notable resistance dates that falls on exactly or near these Grand cross and x - intersection lines.






The PSEi Price square of 9
  - this is one of the method i used in identifying the right price numeral value of resistance and support  points that falls between the intersection of time cycle counts and my geometric angles in my graph for projecting future time and price projections.  Values that fall on the vertical and horizontal  boxes ( Grand cross) are major Price resistances level, while the 45deg and30 deg( X- lines) are minor resistance level. As new all time low or all time high price level is made, the square is adjusted to that new vibration by changing the center value of the square. Orange boxes are notable resistance dates that falls on exactly or near these Grand cross and x - intersection lines.





To be continued....

1 comment:

  1. Hi,
    Do you actually teach the "Mathematical Trading Techniques" you mentioned on Mathematics?
    Regards,

    ReplyDelete

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AN INDEPENDENT TRADER AND BLOGGER THAT OFFERS A DIFFERENT PERSPECTIVE ON LOOKING INTO THE PHILIPPINE MARKET WHICH DOCTRINES ARE BASED ON A COMBINATION OF TECHNICAL TRADING METHODOLOGIES AND UNCONVENTIONAL WISDOM OF ANCIENT ESOTHERIC KNOWLEDGE AND PRACTICES FOR TRADING STOCKS AND COMMODITIES IN THE MARKET; WHICH PRIMARY GOAL IS TO FORECAST THE MARKET TREND OF THE PHILIPPINE MARKET AND SHARE ITS OPINION TO BENEFIT SIGNIFICANTLY FROM THE PHILIPPINE MARKET TO ACHIEVE ENORMOUS FINANCIAL REWARDS. THE AUTHOR DOES NOT GIVE SPECIFIC BUY OR SELL SIGNALS FOR A SPECIFIC STOCK BUT RATHER A GENERAL DIRECTION OF THE MARKET. THE AUTHOR IS NOT CONNECTED TO ANY GROUP OR ORGANIZATION(NON-RELIGIOUS,NON-SOCIAL AND NON-SECTARIAN) AND DOES NOT HAVE ANY OTHER PURPOSE OTHER THAN TO EXPRESS HIS OWN PERSONAL ANALYSIS AND OPINION AS FREE INFORMATION TO ALL.